Programme


Tuesday 3 July
0900-1200 On-site registration
1200-1400 Lunch
1400-1415 Opening - Dronningsalen
1415-1530 Plenary - Dronningsalen
Nils Chr. Stenseth: Opening remarks
Steinar Engen: Stochastic age-structured modelling: dynamics, genetics and estimation (1)
1530-1600 Coffee
1600-1715 Parallel sessions 1
Combining information Distance sampling Occupancy estimation
K1Chair: Magne Aldrin K2Chair: Eric Rexstad K3Chair: Matt Schoefeld
1600 Simone Tenan: Demographic consequences of illegal poisoning in raptors: An integrated approach (2) Paul Conn: A hierarchical modeling framework for multiple covariate, multiple-observer distance sampling data (7) Mark Brewer: Climate envelopes for species distribution models (12)
1615 Jose J. Lahoz-Monfort: Bringing it all together: A multi-species Integrated Population Model for a breeding community of seabirds (3) Stephanie Kramer-Schadt: Understanding Asiatic wild ass (Equus hemionus) population size estimates in the Great Gobi B Strictly Protected Area, Mongolia (8) Gurutzeta Guillera-Arroita: Accounting for parameter uncertainty in the design of occupancy studies: Bayesian and sequential approaches (13)
1630 Alison Johnston: Modelling the distribution of flying heights of seabirds from multiple surveys (4) Cornelia S. Oedekoven (S): Using hierarchical centering to facilitate an RJMCMC algorithm (9) Kristin Broms (S): Applying a spatial occupancy model to the Southern African Bird Atlas Project (14)
1645 Tuomas Kukko (S): Combining multiple data sources within a Bayesian state-space model with an application for moose population dynamics (5) Marc Kéry: Inference about density and availability from distance sampling data (10) Chris Sutherland (S): Inferring transient occupancy using occupancy models that account for false positive and false negative detection probabilities (15)
1700 Michael Schaub: Estimating immigration using a Bayesian integrated population model: Choice of parametrisation and priors (6) Earl Becker: Aerial Line-Transect Surveys with dependent data and a Gamma-like detection function (11) Brendan Wintle: Designing occupancy surveys and interpreting non-detection when observations are imperfect (16)
1715-1730 Coffee
1730-1900 Parallell sessions 2
Life history and behaviour Multi-species interactions/time series Animal movement
K1Chair: Alison Johnson K2Chair: Paul Harrison K3Chair: Roland Langrock
1730 Olivier Gimenez: Estimating fitness in the wild using state-space models and mark-recapture data (17) Mafalda Viana (S): Temporal dynamics of fisheries discards composition and its implications for ecosystem functioning (23) Ben Swallow (S): Coincidental bird irruptions (29)
1745 Perry de Valpine: Realistic modeling of stage-structured cohort time-series data (18) Andres Lopez-Sepulcre: Bayesian analysis of isotope tracer additions to test alternative models of Trinidadian stream webs (24) Toby Patterson: Predicting the spatial distribution of animal behaviour: Coupling models of stochastic animal behaviour and spatial usage (30)
1800 Aaron Christ: Estimating locations for local extrema of stable isotope signatures in Steller sea lion vibrissae (19) Dag Ø. Hjermann: Multispecies, length-based modelling of marine food webs (25) Paul Blackwell: Modelling, simulation and inference for animal movement in continuous time (31)
1815 Cecilia Pinto (S): The importance of considering uncertainty when modelling the population viability of by-catch species: An application to deepwater elasmobranchs (20)

Jonas Knape: Using uncertainty estimates in state space modelling of population abundance time series (26) Theoni Photopoulou: Reconstructing dive paths in two-dimensions: Inferences about depth use and behavior (32)
1830 Fredrik Christiansen (S): Cumulative seasonal effects of whale-watching on Minke whales on a feeding ground (21) Birgit Erni: Using structural time series models to estimate trends in bird populations from semiannual counts (27) Tiago Marques: Using animal-borne tags to estimate whale tracks in 3-dimensional space using state space models (33)
1845 Pascal Monestiez: Predicting foraging success in a marine predator from dive pattern only? GLMM model selection and individual effects (22) Andreas Lindén: Autocorrelated covariates in AR-models can be problematic (28) Brett McClintock: Combining individual animal location and biotelemetry data to investigate movement and activity budgets at the population-level: An application to harbour seals in the North Sea (34)
1900-2000 Wine reception
2000-2200 Dinner


Wednesday 4 July
0900-1030 Plenary - Dronningsalen
Otso Ovaskainen: The analysis of spatial data: individual movements and species and community models (35)
Joanna Mills Flemming: The Ocean tracking network: a data perspective (36)
1030-1100 Coffee
1100-1245 Parallel sessions 3
Spatial modelling Abundance estimation Wildlife and conservation
K1Chair: Janine Illian K2Chair: Takis Besbeas K3Chair: Mark Brewer
1100 Sophie Bertrand: Do foragers move Lévy or not? Let Generalized Pareto decide (37) Luigi Spezia: Modelling species abundance in a river by Negative Binomial hidden Markov models (44) Fränzi Korner-Nievergelt: Measuring resource selection: A classical method applied in a Bayesian framework (51)
1115 Jean-Baptiste Lecomte (S): A Bayesian hierarchical model for zero-inflated biomass data, with a spatial structure (38) Stephen Buckland: Wildlife population survey methods: Challenges and opportunities in the 21st century (45) Cindy Hauser: Observing the observer: Experiments that estimate weed detectability (52)
1130 Daniel Esser (S): Bacterial colonization patterns on plant surfaces - Adapting methods from spatial statistics to understand mixed point-line patterns (39) Peter Jaksons (S): Balanced Acceptance Sampling: An adaptive long term sampling methodology (46) Joslin Moore: How good are our decision models? An experimental test of optimal surveillance (53)
1145 Marinelle Basson: Experimentally derived likelihoods for light-based geolocation (40) Emily Dennis (S): Estimating trends in butterfly populations whilst accounting for missing counts and variability in seasonal pattern (47) Richard Sherley: Don't bank on a sea view: Could climate variability be limiting the productivity of an endemic cormorant in southern Africa? (54)
1200 Vidar Grøtan: Inference for spatial processes based on areal unit data (41) M. Sivaram: Some reflections on population estimation of wild elephants using large scale dung survey in southern India during 2005, 2007 and 2010 (48) Tracy Rout: A statistical framework for adaptive surveillance of invasive plants (55)
1215 Martin Alfredo Legarreta-Gonzalez (S): Bayesian identification of outlying latrines in the reconstruction of badger territories (42) Eva Cantoni: Modelling abundance for clustered count data with excess of zeros (49) Peter Dillingham: Extensions to the potential biological removal method for seabirds and sea turtles (56)
1230 Marit Linnerud (S): Taylor's spatial power law depends on the size of the sampling area (43) Mark Bravington: Estimating abundance by matching parents to offspring: Southern Bluefin Tuna (50) Georgia Garrard: A predictive model of avian natal dispersal distance provides prior information for investigating response to landscape change (57)
1245-1400 Lunch
1400-1605 Invited sessions
Statistical approaches to paleobiological questions The development and use of statistical methodology in fisheries research
K1Chair: Lee Hsiang Liow K3Chair: Mark Maunder
1400 Lee Hsiang Liow: Introduction: Statistical approaches to paleobiological questions (58) Mark Maunder: Introduction: The contribution of fisheries stock assessment to statistical ecology (65)
1405 Bjarte Hannisdal: How low can you go? Causality detection in incomplete records (59) Verena Trenkel: Fisheries stock and community assessments in limited data situations: Flexible models using random effects and inference based on model properties (66)
1425 Graeme Lloyd: Bias in estimates of palaeobiodiversity: Beyond the marine macrofossil record (60) Anders Nielsen: State-space fish stock assessment model as simple alternative to (semi-) deterministic approaches and full parametric stochastic models (67)
1445 Thomas Ezard: Species' ecology drives macroevolution (61) Inna Senina: Next generation of stock assessment tools? Example of spatial population dynamics model with environmental forcing (68)
1505 Folmer Bokma: Combining paleontology and neontology to reconstructing character evolution (62) Paige Eveson: Using electronic tag data to improve mortality and movement estimates in a tag-based spatial fisheries assessment model (69)
1525 P. Raia: Paleontology down the tree. The phylogenetic context of species distribution, competition, and duration in the fossil record (63) Gregory Britten: Time-varying state-space parameterizations of dynamic population models reveal non-stationary stock-recruitment relationships (70)
1545 Bob O'Hara: Fossil Mammals in Time (and space) (64) Mark Maunder (chair): Panel discussion: Statistical issues in fisheries stock assessment that still need addressing (71)
1605-1630 Coffee
1630-1800 Parallel sessions 4
Spatial modelling Spatially-explicit capture-recapture Study design/parameter identification
K1Chair: Paul Conn K2Chair: Tiago Marques K3Chair: Diana Cole
1630 David Miller: Combatting edge effects in spatial smoothing (72) Arjun Gopalaswamy (S): Density estimation in tiger populations: Combining information for strong inference (78) Andreas Karlsson Tiselius (S): Using functional PCA to explore patch connectivity across spatial scales (84)
1645 Russell Thomson: Evaluating predictions of fish and invertebrate species turnover based on a gradient forest model, using an independent data set (73) Ingars Silinsh (S): Comparison of different approaches to mark – recapture methods studying gypsy moth Lymantria dispar in field surveys (79) Jamie Sanderlin Optimal study design for multi-species monitoring programs (85)
1700 Joseph Chipperfield: An approximate version of reversible-jump MCMC for the parameterisation and model selection of individual-based models (74) Beth Gardner: Spatial capture - recapture in linear networks: Estimating survival and migration patterns in fishes (80) Patricia Hansen: Sampling rare and clustered populations (86)
1715 Esther Jones Comparative spatial distributions between UK grey and harbour seal populations (75) Gonçalo Ferraz: Inference about survival and movement in marked animals using multi-state models with spatially-indexed states (81) Wendell Challenger: Testing the Effect of Fish Farms on Salmon Survival, TEFFS (87)
1730 Stephen Catteral: Modelling the spatial spread of invasive aliens: Process-based models and Bayesian inference (76) Rahel Sollmann: Spatial capture-recapture models for partial identifyability (82) Ben Hubbard (S): Parameter redundancy: Identifiability issues in Mark-Recapture-Recovery models (88)
1745 Janine Illian: Recent advances in computationally efficient spatial modelling (77) David Borchers: Spatially explicit capture-recapture with passive detectors (83) Christoph Scherber: Choosing between types of linear models in the analysis of species richness data in fragmented landscapes (89)
1800-2000 Poster sessions - In front of lecture rooms (see below)
2000-2200 Dinner


Poster sessions - In front of lecture rooms
Eloísa Díaz-Francés: A truncated gamma-binomial model for estimating species richness under quadrat sampling (90) Jirí Hadrava (S): Improving mark-release-recapture estimates of short-lived highly mobile pollinators using additional information on weather and landscape composition (99) Ameur Manceur: A parsimonious multi-dimensional statistical model, with applications in ecology (108)
Maria Grazia Pennino: Bayesian latent Gaussian models to assessing the spatial distribution of species (91) Andrej Spiridonov (S): Testing for correlation between abundances of conodonts and environmental time series in Pridolian strata of Lithuania (100) Eric Rexstad: Comparing pre- and post-construction distributions of long-tailed ducks around an offshore wind farm: A quasi-designed experiment accounting for imperfect detection, local surface features and autocorrelation (109)
Amelie Vaniscotte: Estimating prediction errors in Species Distribution Models: A virtual ecology approach to integrate multiple sources of uncertainties (92) Clara-Sophie van Waveren (S): The role of heterogeneity in spatial plant population dynamics (101) Leonel Herrera-Alsina (S): Methods from theoretical ecology applied to a practical problem: Birds and wind turbines (110)
Christopher Ilori (S): A glimpse into the future: Predictive distribution modelling of bird populations in west Africa (93) Leif Christian Stige: Statistical analysis of plankton distributions: Incorporation of information from hydrodynamic modeling of transport (102) Zdenek Janovský (S): The preferred and the near - the actual hoverfly preferences for host plants and the role of spatial aspect (111)
David Miller: Multi-scale analysis of occupancy dynamics of two amphibian species in refuges across the northeast U.S. (94) M. Grazia Pennino (S): Accounting for preferential sampling in the fishery context (103) Maria Wojakowski (S): A Bayesian analysis of the nesting ecology of the Diamondback Terrapin (Malaclemys terrapin) in Jamaica Bay Wildlife Refuge, New York (112)
David Miller: Spatial density surface estimation from distance sampling surveys (95) Hans Skaug: Spatial GLMs in AD Model Builder (104) Tatiane Beduschi (S): The influence of facilitation on the spatial distribution of Clusia criuva depends on environmental severity (113)
David Miller: Coming soon in Distance (96) Amiya Bhowmick (S): Simultaneous identification of growth law and estimation of its rate parameter for biological data: A new metric (105) Shujaul Mulk Khan (S): Evaluation of plants environment relationship and recognition of indicator species using multivariate statistics (114)
Simone Tenan (S): Population size estimate in short-time. Handling behavioural response, individual heterogeneity in three–session surveys (97) Alexander Novakovsky: Presentation of the program module "GRAPHS" designed to automation of ecological data analysis by using ordination, clustering and graph theory (106) Ramanibai Ravichandran: Role of algal diets on the development of three copepods (115)
Roger Pradel: Relation between the Jolly-Seber estimate of population size and the Pradel estimate of population growth rate (98) Endre Knudsen: Fitting finite-mixture models: Performance and heuristics (107)


Thursday 5 July
0900-0945 Plenary - Dronningsalen
André E. Punt: Estimating precautionary thresholds for US west coast fisheries (116)
0945-1000 Coffee
1000-1145 Parallel sessions 5
Abundance estimation Mark-recapture and SECR Population dynamics/fisheries
K1Chair: Hans Skaug K2Chair: Olivier Gimenez K3Chair: David Borchers
1000 Knut Korsbrekke: Exploring options beyond catchability at age in trawl surveys used in fish stock assessments (117) Jessica Ford (S): Incorporating individual heterogeneity into mark-recapture models using ADMB and Dirichlet Process Priors (124) Rémi Choquet: Estimating transitions between classified states using non discrete measures with imperfect detection: Application to longitudinal serological data (131)
1015 Christian Damgaard: On the statistical analyses of pin-point cover data: The importance of spatial variation (118) Md. Abdus Salam Akanda (S): A Generalized Estimating Equation approach for estimating population size by using capture-recapture data (125) Res Altwegg: Using metapopulation models to examine colony decline in sociable weavers (132)
1030 Peter N. Maisha MacKean: Combining catch and survey data in a dynamic state-space stock assessment model using sequential importance sampling (119) Leslie New: The relationships between individual behaviour, foraging and fitness for southern elephant seals, and the connections to population dynamics (126) Viktoriia Radchuk (S): Application of pattern-oriented approach to the development of individual-based model: population viability analysis of the bog fritillary butterfly in Belgium (133)
1045 Alf Harbitz: Sampling and survey design aspects of scientific marine surveys (120) Ruth King: Recent approaches in incorporating time-varying covariates within the analysis of capture-recapture data (127) Magne Aldrin: Improving management decisions by predicting fish bycatch in the Barents Sea shrimp fishery (134)
1100 Eleni Matechou: Parameter redundancy in stop-over models; using symbolic algebra in practice (121) Brian Taras: Estimating Grizzly Bear (Ursus arctos) density and distribution in Interior Alaska using spatially-explicit capture recapture models that accommodate individual heterogeneity and habitat effects (128) JC Quiroz: Using state-space modelling framework in data-limited fisheries: The case of Patagonian Toothfish in Chile (135)
1115 Roger Pradel: Estimating population growth rate from capture-recapture data when sampling area is enlarged and/or new individuals are introduced (122) Torbjørn Ergon: Separating mortality and emigration: Modeling space use, dispersal and survival with robust-design spatial capture-recapture data (129) Lasse Ruokolainen: Modelling niche and neutral dynamics: On the ecological interpretation of variation partitioning results (136)
1130 Danielle Harris: Estimating the density of blue whales (Balaenoptera musculus) from a single hydrophone (123) Diana Cole: Adding individual random effects results in models that are no longer parameter redundant (130) Hannah Worthington (S): Recent developments in integrated stopover models (137)
1145-1200 Coffee
1200-1245 Plenary - Dronningsalen
Rachel Fewster: Genetics in statistical ecology (138)
1300-1400 Lunch
1400-1800 Excursions
1900-2400 Conference banquet



















Friday 6 July
0900-0930 Parallel sessions 6
Abundance estimation and genetic marking Wildlife and biodiversity Movement
K1Chair: Geir Storvik K2Chair: Remi Choquet K3Chair: Paul Blackwell
0900 Regina Bispo: Estimating wildlife fatalities at wind farms in the presence of a non uniform spatial density (139) Norbert Menke: Using metapopulation viability models to assess fish population risk from regional water extraction impacts (145) Eliezer Gurarie: Towards a general formalization of encounter rates in ecology (151)
0915 Simona Imperio: Abundance estimation of four Mediterranean ungulate species from replicated counts: A hierarchical model approach (140) K. Alexandra Curtis: A reference point tool for estimating sustainable incidental take for age-structured populations (146) Rocio Joo (S): Modeling behavioral modes in foraging movement (152)
0930 Andres Lopez-Sepulcre (S): Likelihood analysis of call-playback census plots to estimate the abundance of cavity nesting birds (141) Scott Foster: Parametric modelling for multi-species habitats (147) Ronan Fablet: How to reveal the multiscale patterns exhibited by animal trajectories? (153)
0945 Matthew Schofield:: Genotype uncertainty in capture-recapture: Does modeling help? (142) Eve Slavich (S): What types of climate measurements best predict the distribution of biodiversity? (148) Martin W. Pedersen: Analysing movement data with a hidden Markov model (154)
1000 Janine Wright: Closed population genetic mark-recapture with genotyping error and heterogeneity (143) Phil Harrison: Identifying and exploring hotspots of biodiversity change (149) Frank Hardisty: Geovisualization of the movement of the Long-tailed Duck (155)
1015 Richard Barker: Software for capture-recapture type models using genetic tags (144) Edwige Bellier: Combining counts and incidence data to estimate community similarity from a two-dimensional lognormal model (150) Roland Langrock: Extensions of hidden Markov models for animal telemetry data (156)
1030-1100 Coffee
1100-1230 Parallel sessions 7
Population dynamics Mark-recapture-recovery Statistical ecology
K1Chair: Ruth King K2Chair: Torbjørn Ergon K3Chair: Richard Barker
1100 Yngvild Vindenes: Integral Projection Modeling (IPM) reveals effects of temperature change on the stochastic demography and population dynamics of pike (Esox lucius) (157) Byron Morgan: Score tests in capture-recapture (162) Thomas F. Hansen: Measurement error and model error in phylogenetic comparative methods (167)
1115 Lauren Rogers: Using state-space models to link climate variability to Atlantic cod population dynamics along the Norwegian Skagerrak coast (158) Fernando Colchero: BaSTA: An R package for Bayesian estimation of age-specific survival from incomplete mark-recapture/recovery data with covariates (163) Chang-Tai Chao: Variances, variance estimators and the associated confidence intervals for the ratio estimators improved by Rao-Blackwellization in adaptive cluster sampling (168)
1130 Panagiotis Takis Besbeas: Replicated sampling in integrated population modelling (159) Shirley Pledger: Modelling breeding return times in capture-recapture studies with the simple sampling scheme (164) Maren Rebke: Interactive effects of age and environment on reproductive performance in a long-lived bird (169)
1145 Félix Massiot-Granier (S): Bayesian modeling of the dynamics of complex of salmon populations in the North Atlantic (160) Jarle Tufto: Estimating Brownian motion dispersal rate, longevity and population density from spatially explicit mark-recapture data on tropical butterflies (165) Daniel Turek (S): A new approach to model-averaged confidence intervals (170)
1200 Stephen Baillie: Modelling the effects of conditions on the wintering grounds and density-dependence on population changes of Afro-Palaearctic migrants (161) Chen Yu (S): Mixture models in capture-recapture (166) Krzysztof Bartoszek (S): Multivariate phylogenetic comparative methods and adaptation (171)
1215 Michael Spence (S): Uncertainty in agent-based and Individual-based models (172)
1230-1400 Lunch
1400-1530 Plenary - Dronningsalen
J. Andrew Royle: Modeling resource selection and landscape resistance with spatial capture-recapture models (173)
Len Thomas: The future of statistical ecology (174)
1530-1600 Closing and announcement of student awards - Dronningsalen

Published July 1, 2012 8:34 AM