Operational flood forecasting across the globe is moving towards forecasting the impacts and risks of flooding. To forecast flood impacts and risk, new modelling approaches to model chains that can solve the new challenges are developed.
Some key elements of a flood risk forecasting chain are
- Distributed hydrological models that include river routing
- Detailed hydraulic models that map flooded areas
- Detailed maps of elements at risk
- Procedures/approaches for assessing warning levels
- Ensemble forecasting that allows estimating the probability of flooding
The Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE) has an internal project to develop risk-based flood forecasting and we invite master students to establish master projects that cover one or several of the key topics.
Example projects:
- Calibration and evaluation of a distributed hydrological model
- Use of streamflow observations in flood forecasting
- Use of ensembles in flood forecasting
- Ice jam floods
- Updating of snow states for flood forecasting