Marcos Llope

Publications

Carvalho-Souza GF, Torres MA, Farias C, Acosta JJ, Tornero J, Sobrino I, Ramos F, Llope M (2021) International politics must be considered together with climate and fisheries regulation as a driver of marine ecosystems Global Env Change. 69, 102288. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102288

Llope M, Carvalho-Souza GF, Baldó F, González-Cabrera C, Jiménez MP, Licandro P, Vilas C (2020) Gulf of Cadiz zooplankton: community structure, zonation and temporal variation. Prog Oceanogr. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2020.102379

Carvalho-Souza GF, González-Ortegón E, Baldó F, Vilas C, Drake P, Llope M (2018) Natural and anthropogenic drivers on the early life stages of European anchovy in one of its Essential Fish Habitats, the Guadalquivir estuary. Mar Ecol Prog Ser. https://doi.org/10.3354/meps12562

Carvalho-Souza GF, Llope M, Tinôco MS, Medeiros DV, Maia-Nogueira R, Sampaio CLS (2018) Marine litter disrupts ecological processes in reef systems. Marine Pollut Bull, 133: 464–471.

Lynam CP, Llope M, Möllmann C, Helaouët P, Bayliss-Brown GA, Stenseth NC (2017) Interaction between top-down and bottom-up control in marine food webs. Proc Natl Acad Sci, 114: 1952–1957.

Llope M (2017) The ecosystem approach in the Gulf of Cadiz. A perspective from the southernmost European Atlantic regional sea. ICES J Mar Sci, 74: 382–390.

Blenckner T, Llope M, Möllmann C, Voss R, Quaas MF, Casini M, Lindegren M, Folke C, Stenseth NC (2015) Climate and fishing steer ecosystem regeneration to uncertain economic futures. Proc R Soc B, 282: 20142809.

Jianfeng F, Durant JM, Stige LC, Hessen DO, Hjermann DØ, Zhu L, Llope M, Stenseth NC (2015) Contrasting correlation patterns between environmental factors and chlorophyll levels in the global ocean. Global Biogeochem Cy,  29(12): 2095–2107.

Jianfeng F, Stige LC, Durant JM, Hessen DO, Zhu L, Hjermann DØ, Llope M, Stenseth NC (2014) Large-scale season-dependent effects of temperature and zooplankton on phytoplankton in the North Atlantic. Mar Ecol Prog Ser, 502: 25–37.

Otto SA, Kornilovs G, Llope M, Möllmann C (2014) Interactions among density, climate, and food web effects determine long-term life cycle dynamics of a key copepod. Mar Ecol Prog Ser, 498: 73–84.

Nicolas D, Rochette S, Llope M, Licandro P (2014) Spatio-temporal variability of the North Sea cod recruitment in relation to temperature and zooplankton. PLoS ONE 9(2): e88447.

Raab K, Llope M, Nagelkerke LAJ, Rijnsdorp AD, Teal LR, Licandro P, Ruardij P, Dickey-Collas M (2013) Influence of temperature and food availability on juvenile European anchovy Engraulis encrasicolus at its northern boundary. Mar Ecol Prog Ser, 488: 233–245.

Casini M, Blenckner T, Möllmann C, Gårdmark A, Lindegren M, Llope M, Kornilovs G, Plikshs M, Stenseth NC (2012) Predator transitory spillover induces trophic cascades in ecological sinks. Proc Natl Acad Sci, 109: 8185–8189.

Llope M, Licandro P, Chan K-S, Stenseth NC (2012) Spatial variability of the plankton trophic interaction in the North Sea: a new feature after the early 1970s. Global Change Biol, 18: 106–117.

Cardinale M, Bartolino V, Llope M, Maiorano L, Sköld M, Jacob Hågberg J (2011) Historical spatial baselines in conservation and management of marine resources. Fish and Fisheries, 12: 289–298.

Llope M, Daskalov GM, Rouyer TA, Mihneva V, Grishin AN, Chan K-S, Stenseth NC (2011) Overfishing of top predators eroded the resilience of the Black Sea system regardless of the climate and anthropogenic conditions. Global Change Biol, 17: 1251–1265.

Olsen EM, Ottersen G, Llope M, Chan K-S, Beaugrand G, Stenseth NC (2011) Spawning stock and recruitment in North Sea cod shaped by food and climate. Proc R Soc B, 278: 504–510.

Iriarte A, Aravena G, Villate F, Uriarte I, Ibañez B, Llope M, Stenseth NC (2010) Dissolved oxygen in contrasting estuaries of the Bay of Biscay: effects of temperature, river discharge and chlorophyll a. Mar Ecol Prog Ser, 418: 57–71.

Llope M, Chan K-S, Ciannelli L, Reid PC, Stige L, Stenseth NC (2009) Effects of environmental conditions on the seasonal distribution of phytoplankton biomass in the North Sea. Limnol Oceanogr, 54: 512–524.

Payne MR, Hatfield EMC, Dickey-Collas M, Falkenhaug T, Gallego A, Gröger J, Licandro P, Llope M, Munk P, Röckmann C, Schmidt JO, Nash RDM (2009) Recruitment in a changing environment: the 2000s North Sea herring recruitment failure. ICES J Mar Sci, 66: 272–277.

Valdés L, López-Urrutia A, Cabal J, Álvarez-Ossorio M, Bode A, Miranda A, Cabanas M, Huskin I, Anadón R, Alvarez-Marqués F, Llope M, Rodríguez N (2007) A decade of sampling in the Bay of Biscay: What are the zooplankton time series telling us?. Prog Oceanogr, 74: 98–114.

Llope M, Anadón R, Sostres JA, Viesca L (2007) Nutrients dynamics in the southern Bay of Biscay (1993-2003): Winter supply, stoichiometry, long-term trends and their effects on the phytoplankton community. J Geophys Res, 112: C07029.

Stenseth NC, Llope M, Anadón R, Ciannelli L, Chan K-S, Hjermann DØ, Bagøien E, Ottersen G (2006) Seasonal plankton dynamics along a cross-shelf gradient. Proc R Soc B, 273: 2831–2838.

Llope M, Anadón R, Viesca L, Quevedo M, González-Quirós R, Stenseth NC (2006) Hydrography of the southern Bay of Biscay shelf-break region: integrating the multi-scale physical variability over the period 1993-2003. J Geophys Res, 111: C09021.

Isla JA, Llope M, Anadón R (2004) Size-fractionated mesozooplankton biomass, metabolism and grazing along a 50ºN to 30ºS transect of the Atlantic Ocean. J Plankton Res, 26: 1301–1313.

• Van Denderen, P. Daniël; Holah, Helen; Robson, Laura M.; Hiddink, Jan Geert; Menot, Lénaick & Pedreschi, Debbi [Show all 24 contributors for this article] (2022). A policy-based framework for the determination of management options to protect vulnerable marine ecosystems under the EU deep-sea access regulations. ICES Journal of Marine Science. ISSN 1054-3139. 79(1), p. 34–49. doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsab237.
• Maureaud, Aurore; Frelat, Romain; Pecuchet, Laurène Anne Marie; Shackell, Nancy; Merigot, Bastien & Pinsky, Malin L. [Show all 75 contributors for this article] (2020). Are we ready to track climate‐driven shifts in marine species across international boundaries? ‐ A global survey of scientific bottom trawl data. Global Change Biology. ISSN 1354-1013. 27(2), p. 220–236. doi: 10.1111/gcb.15404. Full text in Research Archive Show summary

  Marine biota are redistributing at a rapid pace in response to climate change and shifting seascapes. While changes in fish populations and community structure threaten the sustainability of fisheries, our capacity to adapt by tracking and projecting marine species remains a challenge due to data discontinuities in biological observations, lack of data availability, and mismatch between data and real species distributions. To assess the extent of this challenge, we review the global status and accessibility of ongoing scientific bottom trawl surveys. In total, we gathered metadata for 283,925 samples from 95 surveys conducted regularly from 2001 to 2019. We identified that 59% of the metadata collected are not publicly available, highlighting that the availability of data is the most important challenge to assess species redistributions under global climate change. Given that the primary purpose of surveys is to provide independent data to inform stock assessment of commercially important populations, we further highlight that single surveys do not cover the full range of the main commercial demersal fish species. An average of 18 surveys is needed to cover at least 50% of species ranges, demonstrating the importance of combining multiple surveys to evaluate species range shifts. We assess the potential for combining surveys to track transboundary species redistributions and show that differences in sampling schemes and inconsistency in sampling can be overcome with spatio‐temporal modeling to follow species density redistributions. In light of our global assessment, we establish a framework for improving the management and conservation of transboundary and migrating marine demersal species. We provide directions to improve data availability and encourage countries to share survey data, to assess species vulnerabilities, and to support management adaptation in a time of climate‐driven ocean changes.

• Carvalho-Souza, Gustavo F. de; González-Ortegón, Enrique; Baldó, Francisco; Vilas, César; Drake, Pilar & Llope, Marcos (2018). Natural and anthropogenic effects on the early life stages of European anchovy in one of its essential fish habitats, the Guadalquivir estuary. Marine Ecology Progress Series. ISSN 0171-8630. p. 1–13. doi: 10.3354/meps12562.
• Lynam, Christopher Philip; Llope, Marcos; Möllmann, Christian; Helaouët, Pierre; Bayliss-Brown, Georgia Anne & Stenseth, Nils Christian (2017). Interaction between top-down and bottom-up control in marine food webs. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ISSN 0027-8424. 114(8), p. 1952–1957. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1621037114.
• Llope, Marcos (2016). The ecosystem approach in the Gulf of Cadiz. A perspective from the southernmost European Atlantic regional sea. ICES Journal of Marine Science. ISSN 1054-3139. 74(1), p. 382–390. doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsw165.
• Blenckner, Thorsten; Llope, Marcos; Möllmann, Christian; Voss, Rudi; Quaas, Martin & Casini, Michele [Show all 9 contributors for this article] (2015). Climate and fishing steer ecosystem regeneration to uncertain economic futures. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Biological Sciences. ISSN 0962-8452. 282(1803), p. 1–9. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2014.2809.
• Casini, Michele; Blenckner, Thorsten; Möllmann, Christian; Gårdmark, Anna; Lindegren, Martin & Llope, Marcos [Show all 9 contributors for this article] (2012). Predator transitory spillover induces trophic cascades in ecological sinks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ISSN 0027-8424. 109(21), p. 8185–8189. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1113286109.
• Llope, Marcos; Licandro, Priscilla; Chan, Kung-Sik & Stenseth, Nils Christian (2012). Spatial variability of the plankton trophic interaction in the North Sea: a new feature after the early 1970s. Global Change Biology. ISSN 1354-1013. 18, p. 106–117. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02492.x.
• Cardinale, Massimiliano; Bartolino, Valerio; Llope, Marcos; Maiorano, Luigi; Sköld, Mattias & Hagberg, Jacob (2011). Historical spatial baselines in conservation and management of marine resources. Fish and Fisheries. ISSN 1467-2960. 12(3), p. 289–298. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-2979.2010.00393.x.
• Olsen, Esben Moland; Ottersen, Geir; Llope, Marcos; Chan, Kung-Sik; Beaugrand, Grégory & Stenseth, Nils Christian (2011). Spawning stock and recruitment in North Sea cod shaped by food and climate. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Biological Sciences. ISSN 0962-8452. 278(1705), p. 504–510. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2010.1465.
• Llope, Marcos; Daskalov, Georgi; Rouyer, Tristan Alexander; Mihneva, Vesselina; Chan, Kung-Sik & Grishin, Alexander [Show all 7 contributors for this article] (2011). Overfishing of top predators eroded the resilience of the Black Sea system regardless of the climate and anthropogenic conditions. Global Change Biology. ISSN 1354-1013. 17(3), p. 1251–1265. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02331.x.
• Iriarte, Arantza; Aravena, Guillermo Hernan; Villate, Fernando; Uriarte, Ibon; Ibanez, Berta & Llope, Marcos [Show all 7 contributors for this article] (2010). Dissolved oxygen in contrasting estuaries of the Bay of Biscay: effects of temperature, river discharge and chlorophyll a. Marine Ecology Progress Series. ISSN 0171-8630. 418, p. 57–71. doi: 10.3354/meps08812.
• Payne, MR; Hatfield, EMC; Dickey-Collas, M; Falkenhaug, T; Gallego, A & Groger, J [Show all 12 contributors for this article] (2009). Recruitment in a changing environment: the 2000s North Sea herring recruitment failure. ICES Journal of Marine Science. ISSN 1054-3139. 66(2), p. 272–277. doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsn211.
• Llope, Marcos; Chan, KS; Ciannelli, L; Reid, PC; Stige, Leif Christian & Stenseth, Nils Christian (2009). Effects of environmental conditions on the seasonal distribution of phytoplankton biomass in the North Sea. Limnology and Oceanography. ISSN 0024-3590. 54(2), p. 512–524.

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• Llope, Marcos; Blenckner, Thorsten; Vasilakopoulos, Paris; McGinty, Niall; Lynam, Christopher Philip & Helaouët, Pierre [Show all 10 contributors for this article] (2018). Resilience of northeast Atlantic marine ecosystems.
• Llope, Marcos; Blenckner, Thorsten; Vasilakopoulos, Paris; McGinty, Niall; Lynam, Christopher Philip & Helaouët, Pierre [Show all 10 contributors for this article] (2018). Continuous and abrupt changes in the resilience of northeast Atlantic marine ecosystems.
• Llope, Marcos; Blenckner, Thorstein; McGinty, Niall; Stige, Leif Christian; Marteinsdóttir, Gudrun & Stenseth, Nils Christian (2017). A look at the Arctic ecosystems time series can help us project their future.
• Llope, Marcos (2016). Cod response to past and current warm phases in the Seas of Iceland, a time series analysis.
• Llope, Marcos (2012). The Baltic Sea regime shift, can it flip back?
• Llope, Marcos (2012). Regime shifts and resilience in a eutrophic marine ecosystem: the Kattegat as a case study for ecosystem management.
• Llope, Marcos (2012). Resilience and thresholds in the Baltic Sea ecosystem.
• Cardinale, M; Bartolino, V; Llope, Marcos; Maiorano, L; Skold, M & Hågberg, J (2009). Historical distribution (1901-2007) of Plaice in the Kattegat-Skagerrak and implications for stock management and conservation.
• Llope, Marcos; Licandro, P; Chan, Kung-Sik & Stenseth, Nils Christian (2009). Spatio-temporal shift in the plankton trophic interactions in the North Sea over the last 50 years.
• Llope, Marcos; Daskalov, GM; Rouyer, Tristan Alexander; Chan, Kung-Sik & Stenseth, Nils Christian (2009). Predicting regime shifts under different scenarios in the Black Sea.
• Llope, Marcos (2009). Assessing the stability of trophic relationships in marine food webs, the Black and North Seas as case studies.
• Dingsør, Gjert Endre; Huse, G & Llope, Marcos (2009). Spatial distribution and population dynamics of herring and cod in the North Sea.
• Llope, Marcos; Licandro, P; Chan, Kung-Sik & Stenseth, Nils Christian (2009). Spatio-temporal shift in the plankton trophic interactions in the North Sea over the last 50 years.
• Iriarte, A; Aravena, G; Uriarte, I; Villate, F; Llope, Marcos & Stenseth, Nils Christian (2009). Modelling the effect of temperature and chlorophyll - a on dissolved oxygen in two contrasting estuaries of the Bay of Biscay.
• Llope, Marcos (2008). Is a changing North Sea environment making sustainable exploitation of herring more difficult?
• Llope, Marcos (2008). Sea surface warming in the southern Bay of Biscay modulated by oceanic advection.
• Llope, Marcos (2008). The effect of the North Sea regime shift on the distribution of plankton functional groups and biomass.
• Llope, Marcos (2008). Modelling the effect of the environmental condition on the seasonal distribution of chlorophyll in the North Sea.
• Llope, Marcos (2008). Investigating a possible link between zooplankton changes and recent poor recruitment of herring in the North Sea.
• Llope, Marcos (2008). Modelling the effect of the North Sea regime shift on the distribution of plankton functional groups and biomass.

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