First Annual Meeting January 2016

Join us in Oslo, Norway in January and start the New Year with the first annual meeting of SUSTAIN.

Programme – Oslo, 14-15 January 2016

 

 

SUSTAIN – First Annual Meeting

 

14-15 January 2016

Oslo

 

This meeting is intended as a “User panel meeting”, where communication among users will be structured to develop objectives for SUSTAIN that are of interest to both scientists and end-users. Therefore, the main aim is to present the views and knowledge of all users to decide on common research goals relevant to the management of harvested ecosystems under the influence of climate change. For many cases, this will only be the start, i.e. the common goals are likely to be reached in the few months following the meeting because some systems are quite complex. The main objective of the meeting is to develop a structure around the working groups that will enable us to continue working together after the meeting.

 

The intended plan is as followed:

 

Thursday 14th January

10:00-10:30           Introduction

10:30-11:30           Strategic foresight

11:30-11:50           Coffee/tea/snacks

11:50-13:00           Case studies

13:00-14:00           Lunch

14:00-14:50           WP1 to WP5

14:50-15:50           International partners

15:50-16:10           Coffee/tea/snacks break

16:10-19:00           Group discussions on case studies (3h)

19:30                      Diner

 

Friday 15th January

 

08:00-10:00           Group discussions on case studies (2h)

10:00-10:15           Coffee/tea break

10:15-11:45           Group discussions on case studies (1h30)

11:45-12:30           Lunch

12:30-13:30           Unknowns in data

13:30-13:45           Conclusion

 

The goals and format of each of these sections are detailed below.

 

 

Thursday 14th 

 

1. Brief introduction of SUSTAIN aims

 

Goal

Give an overview of the project aims and how we intend to reach them.

Discuss the book to be produced by SUSTAIN.

 

10:00-10:30    Nils C. Stenseth (UiO)

 

2. Presentation of strategic foresight

 

Goal

Help all participants to understand what it is and how it can work.

 

10:30-10:45    Sandra Hamel (WP6, UiT)

            Strategic foresight: what, why, how, and the challenges with SUSTAIN 

 

10:45-11:30    Samu Mäntyniemi

     Experiences on participatory modelling using Bayesian inference

 

11:30-11:50    Coffee/tea/snacks
 

3. Short overview of case studies targeted by SUSTAIN: Researchers perspectives

 

Goal

Provide a quick overview of the case studies (i.e. the harvested species and the system components they are strongly linked to/affected by) the researchers have agreed to focus on within SUSTAIN, and the researchers perspectives on these systems.

 

Format

To be effective, management questions need to be regrouped in specific case studies. We will present the key case studies that SUSTAIN will be focusing on. For simplicity, some of these case studies are on a targeted species, but we will use ecosystem approaches even in these specific cases. The researchers will present their perspectives, presenting the knowledge acquired, the data available and the questions and challenges that might be relevant to each of these harvested systems in the context of climate change.

 

 

11:50-12:00    Semi-domestic reindeer

  Audun Stien & Torkild Tveraa (NINA Tromsø)

 

12:00-12:10    Svalbard terrestrial – reindeer, rock ptarmigan & arctic fox

            Eva Fuglei & Ashild Pedersen (NP)

 

12:10-12:20    Rock and willow ptarmigan – Low Arctic and subarctic

  John Andre Henden (UiT)

 

12:20-12:30    Climate related invasive species and their impacts on native species and ecosystems (the case of red-listed Fennoscandian tundra species [lesser-white fronted goose & arctic fox] impacted by expanding red fox populations -     other relevant cases may also be proposed and discussed

  Rolf Ims (UiT)

 

12:30-12:40    Moose and boreal forest

           Erling Solberg (NINA Trondheim)

 

12:40-12:50    Mjøsa – Gudbrandsdalslågen system

           Jannicke Moe (NIVA)

 

12:50-13:00    Barents Sea system

           Joël Durant (UiO)

 

13:00-14:00    Lunch

 

4. Overview of the scientific knowledge/analytical capacities of SUSTAIN

 

Goal

Inform the end-users of what SUSTAIN can bring to the management of harvested ecosystems in the context of climate change.

 

Format

Each of the 5 WP will be presented in a context of what kind of knowledge SUSTAIN can provide, highlighting elements and methods that might be less known to other users. Basically, what people within SUSTAIN are able to do that might be relevant for other users, and why these things might be important for management. It will be shown, as concrete as possible, how each WPs relates to the case systems. Importantly, each presentation will be presented in a language/format that is accessible to all end-users.

 

14:00-14:50    (10 min each)

  1. )    WP1 – Øystein Langangen (UiO)
  2. )    WP2 – Aline Lee (NTNU)
  3. )    WP3 – Joël Durant (UiO)
  4. )    WP4 – Ivar Herfindal (NTNU)
  5. )    WP5 – John Andre Henden (UiT)

 

5. Presentation of the international partners

 

Goal

Give an overview of their scientific interests and what knowledge they contribute to SUSTAIN, keeping in mind that one important goal is to give an overview of what students and researchers within SUSTAIN could benefit from visiting their lab.

 

14:30-15:30    (10 min each)

  1. )    Olivier Gimenez
  2. )    Christian Damgaard
  3. )    John Fryxell
  4. )    Georgina Mace (presented by Nils C. Stenseth)
  5. )    Steve Redpath (presented by Rolf. A. Ims)
  6. )    Tim Coulson (presented by Nils C. Stenseth)

 

15:30-16:10    Coffee/tea/snacks break

 

6. Working groups on each case study: End-users perspectives and negotiations

 

Goal

Reach common scientific objectives/management goals for each case study.

Representatives from each end-users group will present their views on the subject

and, together with researchers, will decide on common scientific objectives/management questions that are important for the future.

 

Format

The researchers, NGO’s, stakeholders, monitoring and management bodies concerned with each case study will be invited to take part in the negotiations. The negotiations on common management goals will take place separately for each case study and will be done in two steps. First, representatives from each end-users group will present their perspectives on the system, informing other users on the knowledge and data already acquired, their management needs and their views on current/future challenges for their harvested system in the context of climate change. (The researcher perspectives will not be presented again as they have been presented in section 3.) Second, these presentations will be the starting point for the negotiations, with the aim of finding common scientific objectives/management questions that are relevant for these harvested systems in the context of climate change. It is very likely that these objectives will not be solved for all case studies at this meeting, but this should be a very good start allowing these negotiations to be continued in the months following the meeting.

There will be three discussion sessions with three case studies running in parallel. Note that some case studies will span over two sessions. It is difficult to avoid overlap, but each SUSTAIN-node will try to have a least one representative for each case to be able to share the results of the discussions within each node. The summary of each case study has been provided by email.

 

16:10-19:10    Group discussions on case studies (3h)

  Svalbard terrestrial – reindeer, rock ptarmigan & arctic fox (#2)

  Moose and boreal forest (#5)

  Barents sea (#7)

 

 

Friday 15th

 

08:00-10:00    Group discussions on case studies (2h)

  Climate related invasive species (#4)

  Semi-domestic reindeer – part 1 (#1)

  Mjøsa – Gudbrandsdalslågen system – part 1 (#6)

 

10:00-10:15    Coffee/tea break

 

10:15-11:45    Group discussions on case studies (1h30)

  Rock and willow ptarmigan (#3)

  Semi-domestic reindeer – part 2 (#1)

  Mjøsa – Gudbrandsdalslågen system – part 2 (#6)

 

11:45-12:30    Lunch

 

7. General discussion on unknowns in data

 

Goal

 

Identify problems and solutions for unknowns relating to the three ecosystems

 we SUSTAIN will be working with. These unknowns are with regard to science (e.g. functioning of ecosystems and its response to future climate change) and management (e.g. which policy can be implemented in the future). While focusing on ‘known unknowns’, the meeting might also explore how we could address ‘unknown unknowns’, how ‘surprises’ can be quickly assimilated into science and management.

 

Format

 

We aim at integrating methodological and modelling aspects across the three ecosystems SUSTAIN is working with. Cook et al. (2014) identified 5 ways strategic foresight could contribute to improve environmental policies: ‘1) monitoring existing problems, 2) highlighting emerging threats, 3) identifying promising new opportunities, 4) testing the resilience of policies, and 5) defining a research agenda.’ In this meeting, we will focus on the first four points, and discuss what kind of data and models (statistical and mathematical) are available to answer these questions. It is in particular relevant to assess data quality and model resolution (spatial and temporal), both with respect to e.g. ecosystem functioning and implementation of management actions.

12:30-13:30    Nigel Yoccoz (UiT)

 

8. Conclusion

 

 

13:30-13:45    Nils C. Stenseth (UiO)

 

Getting to the hotel

By bus

Bus 24, 28, 31, 31E or 36E towards Snarøya, alight at Fornebuparken.

 

From Oslo Airport Gardermoen

Take the airport train to Lysaker, then change to bus 24, 28, 31, 31E or 36E to Fornebuparken.

 

From Oslo S (Central Station).

Bus 31 or 31E to Snarøya from Jernbanetorget.

 

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Confirmed attendees (updated regularly)

Aanes, Sondre

Aarvak, Tomas

Anti, Per John

Asbjørnsen, Einar

Back-Hansen, Per

Bellier, Edwige

Benberg, Bjarte

Cadahía-Lorenzo, Luis

Cao, Fransisco J.

Damgaard, Christian

Deris, Leana

Durant, Joel

Engen, Steinar

Farbot, Herman

Fjeldstad, Espen

Fossum, Knut

Fryxell, John

Fuglei, Eva

Gimenez, Olivier

Hamel, Sandra

Hansen, Brage Bremset

Henden, John-A.

Henriksen, Snorre

Herfindal, Ivar

Holthe, Vidar

Ims, Rolf Anker

Kvile, Kristina Øie

Langangen, Øystein

Lund,  Erik

Marolla, Filippo

Melsom, Arne

Moe, Jannicke

Myklebust, Ivar

Mäntyniemi, Samu

Nater, Chloe

Pedersen, Åshild Ønvik

Peeters, Bart

Pentha, Sunna Marie

Skau, Lars Fredrik

Smuk, Jova Vars

Solberg, Askild

Solberg, Erling Johan

Stenseth, Nils Chr.

Stien, Audun

Stubberud, Marlene

Svendsen, Webjørn

Sæther, Bernt-Erik

Søreng, Siri Ulfsdatter

Tveraa, Torkild

Vemund, Jaren

Vøllestad, Asbjørn

Yoccoz, Nigel

Øien, Ingar Jostein

 

 

 

Contact

If you have any questions, please contact Lars Fredrik Skau 

(larsfsk@student.matnat.uio.no )

Published Dec. 23, 2015 1:41 PM - Last modified Jan. 13, 2016 3:50 PM