Programme – Oslo, 14-15 January 2016
SUSTAIN – First Annual Meeting
14-15 January 2016
Oslo
This meeting is intended as a “User panel meeting”, where communication among users will be structured to develop objectives for SUSTAIN that are of interest to both scientists and end-users. Therefore, the main aim is to present the views and knowledge of all users to decide on common research goals relevant to the management of harvested ecosystems under the influence of climate change. For many cases, this will only be the start, i.e. the common goals are likely to be reached in the few months following the meeting because some systems are quite complex. The main objective of the meeting is to develop a structure around the working groups that will enable us to continue working together after the meeting.
The intended plan is as followed:
Thursday 14th January
10:00-10:30 Introduction
10:30-11:30 Strategic foresight
11:30-11:50 Coffee/tea/snacks
11:50-13:00 Case studies
13:00-14:00 Lunch
14:00-14:50 WP1 to WP5
14:50-15:50 International partners
15:50-16:10 Coffee/tea/snacks break
16:10-19:00 Group discussions on case studies (3h)
19:30 Diner
Friday 15th January
08:00-10:00 Group discussions on case studies (2h)
10:00-10:15 Coffee/tea break
10:15-11:45 Group discussions on case studies (1h30)
11:45-12:30 Lunch
12:30-13:30 Unknowns in data
13:30-13:45 Conclusion
The goals and format of each of these sections are detailed below.
Thursday 14th
1. Brief introduction of SUSTAIN aims
Goal Give an overview of the project aims and how we intend to reach them. Discuss the book to be produced by SUSTAIN. |
10:00-10:30 Nils C. Stenseth (UiO)
2. Presentation of strategic foresight
Goal Help all participants to understand what it is and how it can work. |
10:30-10:45 Sandra Hamel (WP6, UiT)
Strategic foresight: what, why, how, and the challenges with SUSTAIN
10:45-11:30 Samu Mäntyniemi
Experiences on participatory modelling using Bayesian inference
11:30-11:50 Coffee/tea/snacks
3. Short overview of case studies targeted by SUSTAIN: Researchers perspectives
Goal Provide a quick overview of the case studies (i.e. the harvested species and the system components they are strongly linked to/affected by) the researchers have agreed to focus on within SUSTAIN, and the researchers perspectives on these systems.
Format To be effective, management questions need to be regrouped in specific case studies. We will present the key case studies that SUSTAIN will be focusing on. For simplicity, some of these case studies are on a targeted species, but we will use ecosystem approaches even in these specific cases. The researchers will present their perspectives, presenting the knowledge acquired, the data available and the questions and challenges that might be relevant to each of these harvested systems in the context of climate change.
|
11:50-12:00 Semi-domestic reindeer
Audun Stien & Torkild Tveraa (NINA Tromsø)
12:00-12:10 Svalbard terrestrial – reindeer, rock ptarmigan & arctic fox
Eva Fuglei & Ashild Pedersen (NP)
12:10-12:20 Rock and willow ptarmigan – Low Arctic and subarctic
John Andre Henden (UiT)
12:20-12:30 Climate related invasive species and their impacts on native species and ecosystems (the case of red-listed Fennoscandian tundra species [lesser-white fronted goose & arctic fox] impacted by expanding red fox populations - other relevant cases may also be proposed and discussed)
Rolf Ims (UiT)
12:30-12:40 Moose and boreal forest
Erling Solberg (NINA Trondheim)
12:40-12:50 Mjøsa – Gudbrandsdalslågen system
Jannicke Moe (NIVA)
12:50-13:00 Barents Sea system
Joël Durant (UiO)
13:00-14:00 Lunch
4. Overview of the scientific knowledge/analytical capacities of SUSTAIN
Goal Inform the end-users of what SUSTAIN can bring to the management of harvested ecosystems in the context of climate change.
Format Each of the 5 WP will be presented in a context of what kind of knowledge SUSTAIN can provide, highlighting elements and methods that might be less known to other users. Basically, what people within SUSTAIN are able to do that might be relevant for other users, and why these things might be important for management. It will be shown, as concrete as possible, how each WPs relates to the case systems. Importantly, each presentation will be presented in a language/format that is accessible to all end-users. |
14:00-14:50 (10 min each)
- ) WP1 – Øystein Langangen (UiO)
- ) WP2 – Aline Lee (NTNU)
- ) WP3 – Joël Durant (UiO)
- ) WP4 – Ivar Herfindal (NTNU)
- ) WP5 – John Andre Henden (UiT)
5. Presentation of the international partners
Goal Give an overview of their scientific interests and what knowledge they contribute to SUSTAIN, keeping in mind that one important goal is to give an overview of what students and researchers within SUSTAIN could benefit from visiting their lab. |
14:30-15:30 (10 min each)
- ) Olivier Gimenez
- ) Christian Damgaard
- ) John Fryxell
- ) Georgina Mace (presented by Nils C. Stenseth)
- ) Steve Redpath (presented by Rolf. A. Ims)
- ) Tim Coulson (presented by Nils C. Stenseth)
15:30-16:10 Coffee/tea/snacks break
6. Working groups on each case study: End-users perspectives and negotiations
Goal Reach common scientific objectives/management goals for each case study. Representatives from each end-users group will present their views on the subject and, together with researchers, will decide on common scientific objectives/management questions that are important for the future.
Format The researchers, NGO’s, stakeholders, monitoring and management bodies concerned with each case study will be invited to take part in the negotiations. The negotiations on common management goals will take place separately for each case study and will be done in two steps. First, representatives from each end-users group will present their perspectives on the system, informing other users on the knowledge and data already acquired, their management needs and their views on current/future challenges for their harvested system in the context of climate change. (The researcher perspectives will not be presented again as they have been presented in section 3.) Second, these presentations will be the starting point for the negotiations, with the aim of finding common scientific objectives/management questions that are relevant for these harvested systems in the context of climate change. It is very likely that these objectives will not be solved for all case studies at this meeting, but this should be a very good start allowing these negotiations to be continued in the months following the meeting. |
There will be three discussion sessions with three case studies running in parallel. Note that some case studies will span over two sessions. It is difficult to avoid overlap, but each SUSTAIN-node will try to have a least one representative for each case to be able to share the results of the discussions within each node. The summary of each case study has been provided by email.
16:10-19:10 Group discussions on case studies (3h)
Svalbard terrestrial – reindeer, rock ptarmigan & arctic fox (#2)
Moose and boreal forest (#5)
Barents sea (#7)
Friday 15th
08:00-10:00 Group discussions on case studies (2h)
Climate related invasive species (#4)
Semi-domestic reindeer – part 1 (#1)
Mjøsa – Gudbrandsdalslågen system – part 1 (#6)
10:00-10:15 Coffee/tea break
10:15-11:45 Group discussions on case studies (1h30)
Rock and willow ptarmigan (#3)
Semi-domestic reindeer – part 2 (#1)
Mjøsa – Gudbrandsdalslågen system – part 2 (#6)
11:45-12:30 Lunch
7. General discussion on unknowns in data
Goal
Identify problems and solutions for unknowns relating to the three ecosystems we SUSTAIN will be working with. These unknowns are with regard to science (e.g. functioning of ecosystems and its response to future climate change) and management (e.g. which policy can be implemented in the future). While focusing on ‘known unknowns’, the meeting might also explore how we could address ‘unknown unknowns’, how ‘surprises’ can be quickly assimilated into science and management.
Format
We aim at integrating methodological and modelling aspects across the three ecosystems SUSTAIN is working with. Cook et al. (2014) identified 5 ways strategic foresight could contribute to improve environmental policies: ‘1) monitoring existing problems, 2) highlighting emerging threats, 3) identifying promising new opportunities, 4) testing the resilience of policies, and 5) defining a research agenda.’ In this meeting, we will focus on the first four points, and discuss what kind of data and models (statistical and mathematical) are available to answer these questions. It is in particular relevant to assess data quality and model resolution (spatial and temporal), both with respect to e.g. ecosystem functioning and implementation of management actions. |
12:30-13:30 Nigel Yoccoz (UiT)
8. Conclusion
|
13:30-13:45 Nils C. Stenseth (UiO)
Getting to the hotel
By bus
Bus 24, 28, 31, 31E or 36E towards Snarøya, alight at Fornebuparken.
From Oslo Airport Gardermoen
Take the airport train to Lysaker, then change to bus 24, 28, 31, 31E or 36E to Fornebuparken.
From Oslo S (Central Station).
Bus 31 or 31E to Snarøya from Jernbanetorget.
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Confirmed attendees (updated regularly)
Aanes, Sondre
Aarvak, Tomas
Anti, Per John
Asbjørnsen, Einar
Back-Hansen, Per
Bellier, Edwige
Benberg, Bjarte
Cadahía-Lorenzo, Luis
Cao, Fransisco J.
Damgaard, Christian
Deris, Leana
Durant, Joel
Engen, Steinar
Farbot, Herman
Fjeldstad, Espen
Fossum, Knut
Fryxell, John
Fuglei, Eva
Gimenez, Olivier
Hamel, Sandra
Hansen, Brage Bremset
Henden, John-A.
Henriksen, Snorre
Herfindal, Ivar
Holthe, Vidar
Ims, Rolf Anker
Kvile, Kristina Øie
Langangen, Øystein
Lund, Erik
Marolla, Filippo
Melsom, Arne
Moe, Jannicke
Myklebust, Ivar
Mäntyniemi, Samu
Nater, Chloe
Pedersen, Åshild Ønvik
Peeters, Bart
Pentha, Sunna Marie
Skau, Lars Fredrik
Smuk, Jova Vars
Solberg, Askild
Solberg, Erling Johan
Stenseth, Nils Chr.
Stien, Audun
Stubberud, Marlene
Svendsen, Webjørn
Sæther, Bernt-Erik
Søreng, Siri Ulfsdatter
Tveraa, Torkild
Vemund, Jaren
Vøllestad, Asbjørn
Yoccoz, Nigel
Øien, Ingar Jostein
Contact
If you have any questions, please contact Lars Fredrik Skau
(larsfsk@student.matnat.uio.no )