Emergent networks: Predicting strain localization and fracture network development

With this research we aim to identify precursory signals of failure embedded in the characteristics of localizing fracture and strain networks. Our ultimate goal is to recognizing the signals that indicate the timing of catastrophic failure in the Earth, such as earthquakes.

Destruction and collapse of a road after a 7.0 magnitude earthquake in Alaska, USA, in November 2018. Source: nbcnews.com

Destruction and collapse of a road after a 7.0 magnitude earthquake in Alaska, USA, in  November 2018. Source: nbcnews.com

About the project

In the past few years, microtomography experiments using an X-ray transparent triaxial deformation device (HADES) address provide in situ observations of time series of 3D distributions of propagating and coalescing fractures as rocks are driven toward macroscopic failure (Renard et al., 2016; 2018b). Digital Volume Correlation (DVC) on series of tomograms produced in these experiments provide access to time series of the full 3D strain tensor fields (e.g., McBeck et al., 2018; 2019a; Renard et al., 2018a).

Over the past three years, we have conducted 40 tomography experiments on rock samples and performed DVC on 24 of these experiments. The resulting experimental data, including time series of fracture network geometries and local strain fields, provide unique access to coalescing fractures and localizing strain at spatial and temporal resolutions previously unavailable. This enables quantifying the dynamics of the transition from distributed to localized deformation, including coalescing fracture networks and concentrating strain distributions.

For the objectives and background for the project see the paragraphs below.

Objective

The ultimate goal of this project is to identify precursory signals of failure embedded in the characteristics of localizing fracture and strain networks.

The primary objectives that will facilitate this goal are to:

  1. quantify the fracture coalescence and strain localization processes throughout in situ X-ray microtomography experiments on natural rocks using space-time-magnitude clustering statistics,
  2. use machine learning techniques of clustering, classification, and decision trees to predict fracture growth, strain localization and system-scale failure, and
  3. use numerical models to expand the aforementioned analyses on cm-scale experiments to crustal scales, deeper seismogenic depths, and a wider range of mechanical anisotropy and heterogeneity.

These three objectives aim to identify the criteria that govern fracture development and strain localization, and so highlight precursory signals of failure.

Background

The ability of fracture networks to coalesce controls the structural integrity of engineered structures, and crustal km-scale fault systems. Several dominant theories have emerged in the past century to predict fracture propagation. Linear elastic fracture mechanics can describe the potential of propagation of one or a few fractures within linear elastic material (e.g., Griffith, 1921; Irwin, 1957). However, these fractures must be significantly larger than the length of preexisting weaknesses that permeate rocks and most engineering materials. Consequently, such formulations do not capture details of the fracture coalescence process, including the precursors that signal imminent macroscopic failure. An alternative theory describes deformation localization as the onset of instability in the constitutive descriptions of homogeneous deformation (e.g., Rudnicki & Rice, 1975; Lyakhovsky et al., 2011).

The critical phase transition theory builds upon the idea that a certain point in parameter space marks a transition from distributed, stable deformation to localized, potentially unstable failure (e.g., Sornette & Sammis, 1995; Alava et al., 2006; Bonamy & Bouchard, 2011). Characteristics of a critical phase transition match some numerical and experimental observations of rock deformation, such as emergent power-law divergence near macroscopic failure (Renard et al., 2018b).

To constrain the criteria that determine fracture development, experimentalists have worked to infer the geometry of evolving fracture networks using acoustic emissions (e.g., Lockner et al., 1991), observations of the surface of uniaxial experiments (e.g., Wong et al., 2001), or ex situ examinations of rock cores at various stages of deformation (e.g., Mair et al., 2002). However, the interaction and coalescence of some fractures may produce acoustic energy below the detection limit, the exposed 2D geometry of fractures may misrepresent the 3D geometry within the rock core, and unloading and subsequent sample preparation may induce artificial deformation. Despite these drawbacks, previous analyses have identified several criteria that can control fracture coalescence, and match some aspects of the three aforementioned theories, including the spatial distribution and orientation of growing fractures with respect to an external stress field, the length and shape of fractures, the energetic cost of fracture propagation and interaction, and the existence of pre-existing mechanical weaknesses in the host rock (e.g., Anderson, 1942; Hubbert, 1951; Sih, 1974; Rybicki & Kanninen, 1977; Raju & Newman, 1979; Dahlen, 1984; Cooke & Madden, 2014; Renard et al., 2018b).

Few experimental analyses have been able to directly observe evolving 3D fracture networks and their corresponding strain fields in natural rocks as they are triaxially compressed toward failure. Consequently, the geophysical community lacks a comprehensive, quantitative understanding of the criteria that govern the transition from distributed to localized deformation. In addition, previous analyses have not been able to directly compare the relative importance of recognized criteria, such as fracture length and orientation, on the dynamics of fracture coalescence to each other. This gap in knowledge forces scientists to categorize a multitude of properties of fault networks in order to estimate the potential of fault interaction, and ultimately constrain seismic hazard.

Financing

The name of the project is 'Emergent networks: Predicting strain localization and fracture network development'.

Funding from the Research Council of Norway as part of the Young Research Talents program, with NFR project number 300435. 

The project period is from September 2020 to August 2024.  

Cooperation

The project is carried out in collaboration with Prof. Yehuda Ben-Zion at the University of Southern California, USA.

Publications

  • Mathiesen, Joachim; Beck, Jessica Ann Mc; Cordonnier, Benoit; Ben-Zion, Yehuda & Renard, Francois (2024). Deep‐learning analysis of fracture networks leading to system‐size failure in rocks. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Machine Learning and Computation. 1(3). doi: 10.1029/2023JH000103. Full text in Research Archive
  • Xue, Chunqi; McBeck, Jessica Ann; Lu, Hongjun; Yan, Changhao; Zhong, Jianhua & Wu, Jianguang [Show all 7 contributors for this article] (2024). Classification of shale lithofacies with minimal data: Application to the early Permian shales in the Ordos Basin, China. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences. ISSN 1367-9120. 259. doi: 10.1016/j.jseaes.2023.105901. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Cordonnier, Benoit; Ben-Zion, Yehuda & Renard, Francois (2023). The Influence of Confining Pressure and Preexisting Damage on Strain Localization in Fluid-Saturated Crystalline Rocks in the Upper Crust. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Solid Earth. ISSN 2169-9313. 128(8). doi: 10.1029/2023JB026987. Full text in Research Archive
  • Madathiparambil, Aldritt Scaria; Tekseth, Kim Robert Bjørk; Mürer, Fredrik Kristoffer; Cordonnier, Benoit; Agofack, Nicolaine & McBeck, Jessica Ann [Show all 10 contributors for this article] (2023). Time-Resolved in Situ Imaging of Strain Localization in Draupne Shale under Triaxial Compression. Physical Review Applied. 20(3). doi: 10.1103/PhysRevApplied.20.034046. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Cordonnier, Benoit; Cooke, Michele; Fattaruso, Laura & Renard, Francois (2023). Deformation evolves from shear to extensile in rocks due to energy optimization. Communications Earth & Environment. 4. doi: 10.1038/s43247-023-01023-w. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Cordonnier, Benoit & Renard, Francois (2023). The evolving representative elementary volume size in crystalline and granular rocks under triaxial compression approaching macroscopic failure. Geophysical Journal International. ISSN 0956-540X. 232(3), p. 1898–1913. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggac426. Full text in Research Archive
  • Stappen, Van F. Van; McBeck, Jessica Ann; Cordonnier, Benoit; Pijnenburg, R.P.J.; Renard, Francois & Spiers, C.J. [Show all 7 contributors for this article] (2022). 4D Synchrotron X-ray Imaging of Grain Scale Deformation Mechanisms in a Seismogenic Gas Reservoir Sandstone During Axial Compaction. Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering. ISSN 0723-2632. 55(8), p. 4697–4715. doi: 10.1007/s00603-022-02842-7. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Ben-Zion, Y.; Zhou, X. & Renard, Francois (2022). Precursory Off-Fault Deformation in Restraining and Releasing Step Overs: Insights From Discrete Element Method Models. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Solid Earth. ISSN 2169-9313. 127(9). doi: 10.1029/2022JB024326. Full text in Research Archive
  • Fattaruso, Laura; Cooke, Michele & McBeck, Jessica Ann (2022). The Influence of Fracture Growth and Coalescence on the Energy Budget Leading to Failure. Frontiers in Earth Science. 10. doi: 10.3389/feart.2022.853030. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Ben-Zion, Y. & Renard, Francois (2022). Predicting fault reactivation and macroscopic failure in discrete element method simulations of restraining and releasing step overs. Earth and Planetary Science Letters. ISSN 0012-821X. 593. doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2022.117667. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Ben-Zion, Yehuda & Renard, Francois (2022). Volumetric and shear strain localization throughout triaxial compression experiments on rocks. Tectonophysics. ISSN 0040-1951. 822. doi: 10.1016/j.tecto.2021.229181. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann & Renard, Francois (2022). Deriving three-dimensional properties of fracture networks from two-dimensional observations in rocks approaching failure under triaxial compression: Implications for fluid flow. Water Resources Research. ISSN 0043-1397. 58(11). doi: 10.1029/2022WR032783. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann (2022). Predicting the Timing of Catastrophic Failure During Triaxial Compression: Insights from Discrete Element Method Simulations. Pure and Applied Geophysics (PAGEOPH). ISSN 0033-4553. 179, p. 3625–3645. doi: 10.1007/s00024-022-03151-4. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Ben-Zion, Yehuda & Renard, Francois (2021). How the force and fracture architectures develop within and around healed fault zones during biaxial loading toward macroscopic failure. Journal of Structural Geology. ISSN 0191-8141. 147. doi: 10.1016/j.jsg.2021.104329. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Mair, Karen & Renard, Francois Marie Paul L (2021). Decrypting healed fault zones: How gouge production reduces the influence of fault roughness. Geophysical Journal International. ISSN 0956-540X. 225(2), p. 759–774. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggab003. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Aiken, John; Cordonnier, B.; Ben-Zion, Yehuda & Renard, Francois (2021). Predicting Fracture Network Development in Crystalline Rocks. Pure and Applied Geophysics (PAGEOPH). ISSN 0033-4553. 179, p. 275–299. doi: 10.1007/s00024-021-02908-7. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Ben-Zion, Yehuda; Zhou, Xiaoyu & Renard, François (2021). The influence of preexisting host rock damage on fault network localization. Journal of Structural Geology. ISSN 0191-8141. 153. doi: 10.1016/j.jsg.2021.104471. Full text in Research Archive
  • Kandula, Neelima; McBeck, Jessica Ann; Cordonnier, Benoît; Weiss, Jérôme; Dysthe, Dag Kristian & Renard, François (2021). Synchrotron 4D X-Ray Imaging Reveals Strain Localization at the Onset of System-Size Failure in Porous Reservoir Rocks. Pure and Applied Geophysics (PAGEOPH). ISSN 0033-4553. 179, p. 325–350. doi: 10.1007/s00024-021-02902-z. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Ben-Zion, Yehuda & Renard, Francois (2021). Fracture Network Localization Preceding Catastrophic Failure in Triaxial Compression Experiments on Rocks. Frontiers in Earth Science. 9. doi: 10.3389/feart.2021.778811. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Cordonnier, B. & Renard, F. (2021). The influence of spatial resolution and noise on fracture network properties calculated from X-ray microtomography data. International Journal of Rock Mechanics And Mining Sciences. ISSN 1365-1609. 147. doi: 10.1016/j.ijrmms.2021.104922. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Zhu, Wenlu & Renard, Francois (2021). The competition between fracture nucleation, propagation and coalescence in crystalline rock. Solid Earth (SE). ISSN 1869-9510. 12(2), p. 375–387. doi: 10.5194/se-12-375-2021. Full text in Research Archive
  • Renard, Francois; Kandula, Neelima; McBeck, Jessica Ann & Cordonnier, Benoit (2020). Creep Burst Coincident With Faulting in Marble Observed in 4-D Synchrotron X-Ray Imaging Triaxial Compression Experiments. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Solid Earth. ISSN 2169-9313. 125. doi: 10.1029/2020JB020354. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Aiken, John Mark; Mathiesen, Joachim; Ben-Zion, Yehuda & Renard, Francois (2020). Deformation precursors to catastrophic failure in rocks. Geophysical Research Letters. ISSN 0094-8276. 47(24). doi: 10.1029/2020GL090255. Full text in Research Archive
  • McBeck, Jessica Ann; Aiken, John Mark; Ben-Zion, Yehuda & Renard, Francois (2020). Predicting the proximity to macroscopic failure using local strain populations from dynamic in situ X-ray tomography triaxial compression experiments on rocks. Earth and Planetary Science Letters. ISSN 0012-821X. 543. doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2020.116344. Full text in Research Archive

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Published May 22, 2020 3:53 PM - Last modified Dec. 6, 2025 1:05 PM

Contact

Jessica McBeck, Ass. Prof. and Project Leader, Njord & Dept, of Geosciences