Nettsider med emneord «uncertainty»

We’ll have our next LATICE seminar on Wednesday, April 15, at 15:00 on Zoom. This time we think that "uncertainty" is a good topic that also (coincidentally) fits well with the ongoing highly uncertain pandemic situation.

Conservation efforts and management decisions on the living environment of our planet often rely on imperfect statistical models. Therefore, managers have to brace for the uncertainty associated with the model and study system i.e., set their acceptable risk level, to make some decisions. However, risk estimates themselves can often be biased. In a recent paper published in Nature communications we demonstrate that one can back-calculate the correct value of risk by combining data fitting with an extensive simulation–estimation procedure.