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Glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) are sudden drainage events from glacier-dammed lakes that can cause significant downstream damage (Taylor et al., 2023). In Norway, such events have been documented for centuries, with one of the most well-known sites being Nedre Demmevatnet, dammed by the retreating Rembesdalskåka glacier at Hardangerjøkulen. Historical records describe destructive GLOFs as early as the 18th century. GLOFs in 1893 and 1937 caused large damage to houses, bridges and cropland and resulted in construction of artificial drainage tunnels in 1899 and 1938. Since 2014 new outbursts have occurred (Kjøllmoen et al., 2024).
This study investigates the potential of combining open-access satellite data with field observations to detect and characterize GLOFs at Nedre Demmevatnet. Sentinel-1 radar, and Sentinel-2 optical imagery were processed in Google Earth Engine using a Random Forest classifier to reconstruct lake area dynamics and constrain drainage timings between 2014 and 2025. Preliminary results show that GLOF events can be identified within ±2 days of dates reported in the official NVE inventory (NVE, 2024), while seasonal lake evolution is reliably captured despite cloud cover challenges. Complementary UAV photogrammetry from 2022 provided high-resolution bathymetry of the drained lake basin, enabling annual volume reconstructions of up to 3.6 million m3 in peak years. Validation with in-situ lake level logging between 2022-2025 confirmed the ability of satellite data to track both gradual refilling and sudden drainage.
Future work will link these observations to climatic drivers (e.g. temperature, precipitation or snow melt) to assess variability in outburst mechanisms and improve understanding of GLOF triggers. This study shows how freely available Earth observation data can support long-term GLOF monitoring in remote alpine environments. With refinements in classifier robustness and expanded validation, such workflows can
contribute to hazard assessment and risk reduction at glacier-dammed lakes in Norway and worldwide (Emmer et al., 2022; Wangchuk and Bolch, 2020).
References
Emmer, A., Wood, J.L., Cook, S.J., Harrison, S., Wilson, R., Diaz-Moreno, A., Reynolds, J.M., Torres, J.C., Yarleque, C., Mergili, M., Jara, H.W., Bennett, G., Caballero, A., Glasser, N.F., Melgarejo, E., Riveros, C., Shannon, S., Turpo, E., Tinoco, T., Torres, L., Garay, D., Villafane, H., Garrido, H., Martinez, C., Apaza, N., Araujo, J., Poma, C., 2022. 160 glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) across the Tropical Andes since the Little Ice Age. Global and Planetary Change (208), 103722.
Kjøllmoen, B. (Ed.), L.M. Andreassen, H. Elvehøy. 2024. Glaciological investigations in Norway 2023. NVE Rapport 22-2024, 98 pp +app.
NVE, 2024. Glacier lake outburst floods.
Taylor, C., Robinson, T.R., Dunning, S., Rachel Carr, J., Westoby, M., 2023. Glacial lake outburst floods threaten millions globally. Nat Commun (14), 487.
Wangchuk, S., Bolch, T., 2020. Mapping of glacial lakes using Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 data and a random forest classifier: Strengths and challenges. Science of Remote Sensing (2), 100008.